Exact Computation of Minimum Sample size for Estimation of Poisson Parameters

In this paper, we develop an approach for the exact determination of the minimum sample size for the estimation of a Poisson parameter with prescribed margin of error and confidence level. The exact computation is made possible by reducing infinite m…

Authors: Xinjia Chen

Exact Computation of Minim um Sample size f or Estimation of P oisson P a ramete rs ∗ Xinjia Chen July 2007 Abstract In this pap er, we dev elop an approa ch f o r the exa ct determination of the minimu m sa mple size for the estimation of a Poisson par ameter with prescrib ed margin of error a nd confidence level. The exact computation is made p ossible by reducing infinite many ev aluations of cov er- age probability to fi nite man y ev aluations. Such reduction is based on o ur discov ery that the minim um of cov erag e probability with resp ect to a Poisson parameter bo unded in an in terv al is attained at a discr ete set of finite many v alues. 1 In tro du ction The estimation of a Poisson parameter fi n ds numerous ap p lications in v ario us fields of sciences and engineering [3 ]. The problem is formulat ed as follo ws. Let X b e a P oisson random v ariable defined in a probabilit y space (Ω , F , Pr) such th at Pr { X = k } = λ k e − λ k ! , k = 0 , 1 , · · · , wh ere λ > 0 is referred to as a Poisson parameter. It is a frequent problem to estimate λ based on n ident ical and indep enden t samples X 1 , · · · , X n of X . An estimate of λ is conv en tionally tak en as b λ n = P n i =1 X i n . The nice prop erty of such estimate is that it is of maxim um lik ely-ho o d and p ossesses minim um v ariance among all u nbia sed estimates. A crucial qu estion in the estimation is as follo ws: Given the know le d ge that λ b elongs to interval [ a, b ] , what is the minimum sample size n that guar ant e es the diffe r enc e b etwe en b λ n and λ b e b ounde d within so me pr escrib e d mar gin of e rr or with a c onfidenc e level higher than a pr escrib e d value? The main con tribu tion of this pap er is to pro vide exact ans w er to this imp ortant qu estion. T he pap er is organized as follo ws. In Section 2, the tec hn iques f or computing the min im um sample size is dev elop ed with the m argin of er r or taken as a b ound of absolute error. In Section 3, we ∗ The au thor had b een previously working with Lou isiana S tate Un ivers ity at Baton Rouge, LA 70803, USA , and is now with D epartment of Electrical Engineering, Sou thern Universit y and A&M College, Baton Rouge, LA 70813, USA ; Email: chenxinjia@gmail.co m 1 deriv e corresp ondin g samp le size metho d b y u sing relativ e error b ound as the margin of error. In Section 4, we dev elop tec hniques for computing minimum sample size with a mixed error criterion. Section 5 is the conclusion. The pro ofs are giv en in Ap p end ices. Throughout th is pap er, w e sh all use th e follo wing notations. The set of in tegers is denoted b y Z . Th e ceiling fun ction and flo or function are d enoted resp ectiv ely b y ⌈ . ⌉ and ⌊ . ⌋ (i.e., ⌈ x ⌉ represent s the smallest int eger n o less than x ; ⌊ x ⌋ represents the largest int eger no greater than x ). The m ultiv ariate function S ( n, k , l, λ ) means S ( n, k, l , λ ) = P l i = k λ i e − λ i ! . The left limit as η tends to 0 is denoted as lim η ↓ 0 . Th e other notations will b e made clear as w e pro ceed. 2 Con trol of Absolute Error Let ε ∈ (0 , 1) b e the margin of absolute err or and δ ∈ (0 , 1) b e the confidence parameter. In many applications, it is desirable to fi n d the minimum sample size n suc h th at Pr n | b λ n − λ | < ε o > 1 − δ for an y λ ∈ [ a, b ]. He re Pr n | b λ n − λ | < ε o is referr ed to as the co v erage probabilit y . The interv al [ a, b ] is introdu ced to tak e in to accoun t the kno wledge of λ . Th e exact determination of m inim um sample size is r eadily tractable with mo dern compu tational p o we r by taking adv an tage of the b ehavio r of the co verag e p robabilit y c haracterized by Theorem 1 as follo ws. Theorem 1 L e t 0 < ε < 1 and 0 ≤ a < b . L et X 1 , · · · , X n b e identic al and indep endent Poisson r andom variables with me an λ ∈ [ a, b ] . L et b λ n = P n i =1 X i n . Then, the minimum of Pr {| b λ n − λ | < ε } with r esp e ct to λ ∈ [ a, b ] is achieve d at the finite set { a, b } ∪ { ℓ n + ε ∈ ( a, b ) : ℓ ∈ Z } ∪ { ℓ n − ε ∈ ( a, b ) : ℓ ∈ Z } , which has less than 2 n ( b − a ) + 4 elements. See App endix A f or a pr o of. The ap p lication of Theorem 1 in the computation of minimum sample size is ob vious. F or a fixed sample size n , since the minim um of cov erage probabilit y with λ ∈ [ a, b ] is attained at a finite set, it can determined b y a computer wh ether the sample size n is large en ou gh to ens ure Pr n | b λ n − λ | < ε o > 1 − δ for an y λ ∈ [ a, b ]. Starting from n = 2, one can find the min imum sample size by gradually increment ing n and chec king wh ether n is large enough. 3 Con trol of Rela tiv e Error Let ε ∈ (0 , 1) b e the margin of relativ e error and δ ∈ (0 , 1) b e the confiden ce parameter. It is in teresting to determine the minim um sample size n so th at Pr (      b λ n − λ λ      < ε ) > 1 − δ 2 for any λ ∈ [ a, b ]. As has b een p oin ted out in Section 2, an essential machinery is to r educe in fi nite man y ev aluations of the co v erage p robabilit y Pr {| b λ n − λ | < ελ } to finite m any ev aluations. Such reduction can b e accomplished by making u se of Theorem 2 as follo ws. Theorem 2 L e t 0 < ε < 1 and 0 < a < b . L et X 1 , · · · , X n b e identic al and indep endent Poisson r andom variables with me an λ ∈ [ a, b ] . L et b λ n = P n i =1 X i n . Then, the minimum of Pr n | b λ n − λ | λ < ε o with r esp e ct to λ ∈ [ a, b ] is achieve d at the finite set { a, b } ∪ { ℓ n (1+ ε ) ∈ ( a, b ) : ℓ ∈ Z } ∪ { ℓ n (1 − ε ) ∈ ( a, b ) : ℓ ∈ Z } , which has less than 2 n ( b − a ) + 4 elements. See App endix B f or a pro of. 4 Con trol of Absolute Error or Relativ e Error Let ε a ∈ (0 , 1) and ε r ∈ (0 , 1) b e resp ectiv ely th e margins of absolute error and relativ e error. Let δ ∈ (0 , 1) b e the confid ence parameter. In many situ ations, it is desirable to fi nd the smallest sample size n suc h that Pr ( | b λ n − λ | < ε a or      b λ n − λ λ      < ε r ) > 1 − δ (1) for any λ ∈ [ a, b ]. T o make it p ossible to compu te exactly th e minim u m s ample size asso ciated with (1), we h a v e Theorem 3 as follo w s. Theorem 3 L e t 0 < ε a < 1 , 0 < ε r < 1 and 0 ≤ a < ε a ε r < b . L et X 1 , · · · , X n b e identic al and indep endent Poisson r andom variables with me an λ ∈ [ a, b ] . L et b λ n = P n i =1 X i n . Then, the minimum of Pr n | b λ n − λ | < ε a or    b λ n − λ λ    < ε r o with r esp e ct to λ ∈ [ a, b ] is achieve d at the finite set { a, b, ε a ε r } ∪ { ℓ n + ε a ∈ ( a, ε a ε r ) : ℓ ∈ Z } ∪ { ℓ n − ε a ∈ ( ε a ε r , b ) : ℓ ∈ Z } ∪ { ℓ n (1+ ε r ) ∈ ( a, ε a ε r ) : ℓ ∈ Z } ∪ { ℓ n (1 − ε r ) ∈ ( ε a ε r , b ) : ℓ ∈ Z } , which has less than 2 n ( b − a ) + 7 elements. Theorem 3 can b e sho wn b y applyin g Theorem 1 and Th eorem 2 with the observ ation th at Pr ( | b λ n − λ | < ε a or      b λ n − λ λ      < ε r ) =    Pr n | b λ n − λ | < ε a o for λ ∈ h a, ε a ε r i , Pr n    b λ n − λ λ    < ε r o for λ ∈  ε a ε r , b i . By virtue of Chernoff b oun ds, it can b e sh own th at, for an y ε ∈ (0 , 1), Pr { b λ n ≤ (1 − ε ) λ } <  e − ε (1 − ε ) 1 − ε  nλ < exp  − λnε 2 2  , Pr { b λ n ≥ (1 + ε ) λ } <  e ε (1 + ε ) 1+ ε  nλ < exp  − (2 ln 2 − 1) λnε 2  . 3 As a result, Pr {| b λ n − λ | > ελ } < δ if λ > ln 2 δ (2 ln 2 − 1) nε 2 . Therefore, to c heck whether (1) is satisfied f or an y λ ∈ [ a, b ], it suffices to c hec k (1) for a ≤ λ ≤ min ( b, ln 2 δ (2 ln 2 − 1) nε 2 r ) . Finally , we would like to p oin t out that similar c haracteristics of the co v erage probability can b e sho wn f or the problem of estimating binomial p arameter or th e prop ortion of fin ite p opulation, whic h allo ws for the exact compu tation of minim um sample size. F or details, see our recen t pap ers [1, 2]. 5 Conclusion W e hav e dev elop ed an exact metho d for the computation of min im um sample size for th e estima- tion of P oisson parameters, whic h only requires finite man y ev aluations of the co v erage p robabilit y . Our sample size metho d p ermits rigorous con trol of s tatistica l sampling error. A Pro of of Theorem 1 Define K = P n i =1 X i and C ( λ ) = Pr      K n − λ     < ε  = Pr { g ( λ ) ≤ K ≤ h ( λ ) } where g ( λ ) = max (0 , ⌊ n ( λ − ε ) ⌋ + 1) , h ( λ ) = ⌈ n ( λ + ε ) ⌉ − 1 . It should b e noted that C ( λ ) , g ( λ ) and h ( λ ) are actually m ultiv ariate functions of λ, ε and n . F or simp licit y of n otations, we dr op th e argument s n and ε thr oughout the pro of of Theorem 1. W e need some preliminary results. Lemma 1 L et λ ℓ = ℓ n − ε wher e ℓ ∈ Z . Then, h ( λ ) = h ( λ ℓ +1 ) = ℓ for any λ ∈ ( λ ℓ , λ ℓ +1 ) . Pro of . F or λ ∈ ( λ ℓ , λ ℓ +1 ), we ha ve 0 < n ( λ − λ ℓ ) < 1 and h ( λ ) = ⌈ n ( λ + ε ) ⌉ − 1 = ⌈ n ( λ ℓ + ε + λ − λ ℓ ) ⌉ − 1 =  n  ℓ n − ε + ε + λ − λ ℓ  − 1 = ℓ − 1 + ⌈ n ( λ − λ ℓ ) ⌉ = ℓ =  n  ℓ + 1 n − ε + ε  − 1 = h ( λ ℓ +1 ) . 4 ✷ Lemma 2 L et λ ℓ = ℓ n + ε wher e ℓ ∈ Z . Then, g ( λ ) = g ( λ ℓ ) = max { 0 , ℓ + 1 } for any λ ∈ ( λ ℓ , λ ℓ +1 ) . Pro of . F or λ ∈ ( λ ℓ , λ ℓ +1 ), we ha ve − 1 < n ( λ − λ ℓ +1 ) < 0 and g ( λ ) = max (0 , ⌊ n ( λ − ε ) ⌋ + 1) = max(0 , ⌊ n ( λ ℓ +1 − ε + λ − λ ℓ +1 ) ⌋ + 1) = max  0 ,  n  ℓ + 1 n + ε − ε  + ⌊ n ( λ − λ ℓ +1 ) ⌋ + 1  = max  0 ,  n  ℓ + 1 n + ε − ε  − 1 + 1  = max { 0 , ℓ + 1 } = max  0 ,  n  ℓ n + ε − ε  + 1  = g ( λ ℓ ) . ✷ Lemma 3 L et α < β b e two c onse cutive elements of the asc e nding arr angement of al l distinct elements of { a, b } ∪ { ℓ n + ε ∈ ( a, b ) : ℓ ∈ Z } ∪ { ℓ n − ε ∈ ( a, b ) : ℓ ∈ Z } . Then, b oth g ( λ ) and h ( λ ) ar e c onstants for any λ ∈ ( α, β ) . Pro of . Since α and β are t wo consecutiv e elemen ts of the ascending arr angemen t of all distinct elemen ts of the set, it m u st b e true that ther e is no in teger ℓ suc h that α < ℓ n + ε < β or α < ℓ n − ε < β . It follo ws that there exist t w o int egers ℓ and ℓ ′ suc h that ( α, β ) ⊆  ℓ n + ε, ℓ +1 n + ε  and ( α, β ) ⊆  ℓ ′ n − ε, ℓ ′ +1 n − ε  . Applying L emm a 1 and Lemma 2, we hav e g ( λ ) = g  ℓ n + ε  and h ( λ ) = h  ℓ ′ +1 n − ε  for an y λ ∈ ( α, β ). ✷ Lemma 4 F or any λ ∈ (0 , 1) , lim η ↓ 0 C ( λ + η ) ≥ C ( λ ) and lim η ↓ 0 C ( λ − η ) ≥ C ( λ ) . Pro of . Observing that h ( λ + η ) ≥ h ( λ ) for any η > 0 and th at g ( λ + η ) = max(0 , ⌊ n ( λ + η − ε ) ⌋ + 1) = max(0 , ⌊ n ( λ − ε ) ⌋ + 1 + ⌊ n ( λ − ε ) − ⌊ n ( λ − ε ) ⌋ + nη ⌋ ) = max(0 , ⌊ n ( λ − ε ) ⌋ + 1) = g ( λ ) for 0 < η < 1+ ⌊ n ( λ − ε ) ⌋− n ( λ − ε ) n , w e h a v e S ( n, g ( λ + η ) , h ( λ + η ) , λ + η ) ≥ S ( n, g ( λ ) , h ( λ ) , λ + η ) (2) 5 for 0 < η < 1+ ⌊ n ( λ − ε ) ⌋− n ( λ − ε ) n . Since h ( λ + η ) = ⌈ n ( λ + η + ε ) ⌉ − 1 = ⌈ n ( λ + ε ) ⌉ − 1 + ⌈ n ( λ + ε ) − ⌈ n ( λ + ε ) ⌉ + nη ⌉ , w e h a v e h ( λ + η ) =    ⌈ n ( λ + ε ) ⌉ for n ( λ + ε ) = ⌈ n ( λ + ε ) ⌉ and 0 < η < 1 n , ⌈ n ( λ + ε ) ⌉ − 1 for n ( λ + ε ) 6 = ⌈ n ( λ + ε ) ⌉ and 0 < η < ⌈ n ( λ + ε ) ⌉− n ( λ + ε ) n . It follo ws that b oth g ( λ + η ) and h ( λ + η ) are ind ep endent of η if η > 0 is small enough. Since S ( n, g , h, λ + η ) is con tinuous with r esp ect to η for fi xed g and h , w e h a v e that lim η ↓ 0 S ( n, g ( λ + η ) , h ( λ + η ) , λ + η ) exists. As a result, lim η ↓ 0 C ( λ + η ) = lim η ↓ 0 S ( n, g ( λ + η ) , h ( λ + η ) , λ + η ) ≥ lim η ↓ 0 S ( n, g ( λ ) , h ( λ ) , λ + η ) = S ( n, g ( λ ) , h ( λ ) , λ ) = C ( λ ) , where the inequalit y follo ws from (2). Observing that g ( λ − η ) ≤ g ( λ ) for any η > 0 and that h ( λ − η ) = ⌈ n ( λ − η + ε ) ⌉ − 1 = ⌈ n ( λ + ε ) ⌉ − 1 + ⌈ n ( λ + ε ) − ⌈ n ( λ + ε ) ⌉ − nη ⌉ = ⌈ n ( λ + ε ) ⌉ − 1 = h ( λ ) for 0 < η < 1+ n ( λ + ε ) −⌈ n ( λ + ε ) ⌉ n , w e h a v e S ( n, g ( λ − η ) , h ( λ − η ) , λ − η ) ≥ S ( n, g ( λ ) , h ( λ ) , λ − η ) (3) for 0 < η < min n λ, 1+ n ( λ + ε ) −⌈ n ( λ + ε ) ⌉ n o . Since g ( λ − η ) = max(0 , ⌊ n ( λ − η − ε ) ⌋ + 1) = max(0 , ⌊ n ( λ − ε ) ⌋ + 1 + ⌊ n ( λ − ε ) − ⌊ n ( λ − ε ) ⌋ − nη ⌋ ) , w e h a v e g ( λ − η ) =    max(0 , ⌊ n ( λ − ε ) ⌋ ) for n ( λ − ε ) = ⌊ n ( λ − ε ) ⌋ and 0 < η < 1 n , max(0 , ⌊ n ( λ − ε ) ⌋ + 1 ) for n ( λ − ε ) 6 = ⌊ n ( λ − ε ) ⌋ and 0 < η < n ( λ − ε ) −⌊ n ( λ − ε ) ⌋ n . It follo w s that b oth g ( λ − η ) and h ( λ − η ) are indep enden t of η if η > 0 is sm all enough. Since S ( n, g , h, λ − η ) is con tinuous with r esp ect to η for fi xed g and h , w e h a v e that lim η ↓ 0 S ( n, g ( λ − η ) , h ( λ − η ) , λ − η ) exists. Hence, lim η ↓ 0 C ( λ − η ) = lim η ↓ 0 S ( n, g ( λ − η ) , h ( λ − η ) , λ − η ) ≥ lim η ↓ 0 S ( n, g ( λ ) , h ( λ ) , λ − η ) = S ( n, g ( λ ) , h ( λ ) , λ ) = C ( λ ) , where the inequalit y follo ws from (3). ✷ 6 Lemma 5 L et α < β b e two c onse cutive elements of the asc ending arr angement of al l distinct ele- ments of { a, b } ∪ { ℓ n + ε ∈ ( a, b ) : ℓ ∈ Z } ∪ { ℓ n − ε ∈ ( a, b ) : ℓ ∈ Z } . Then, C ( λ ) ≥ min { C ( α ) , C ( β ) } for any λ ∈ ( α, β ) . Pro of . By Lemma 3, b oth g ( λ ) and h ( λ ) are constan ts for any λ ∈ ( α, β ). Hence, w e can drop the argument and wr ite g ( λ ) = g , h ( λ ) = h and C ( λ ) = S ( n, g , h, λ ). F or λ ∈ ( α, β ), define in terv al [ α + η , β − η ] w ith 0 < η < min  λ − α, β − λ, β − α 2  . Then, C ( λ ) ≥ min µ ∈ [ α + η,β − η ] C ( µ ). Note th at ∂ S ( n, 0 ,l ,λ ) ∂ λ = − λ l e − λ l ! and thus, for g > 0, ∂ S ( n, g , h, λ ) ∂ λ = ∂ S ( n, 0 , h, λ ) ∂ λ − ∂ S ( n, 0 , g − 1 , λ ) ∂ λ = λ g − 1 e − λ ( g − 1)! − λ h e − λ h ! =  h ! ( g − 1)! − λ h − g +1  λ g − 1 e − λ h ! > 0 if λ < h h ! ( g − 1)! i 1 h − g +1 . F rom such inv estigatio n of the deriv ativ e of S ( n, g , h, λ ) with resp ective to λ , we can see that, f or 0 < η < min  λ − α, β − λ, β − α 2  , one of the follo wing thr ee cases must b e true: (1) C ( µ ) decreases monotonically for µ ∈ [ α + η , β − η ]; (2) C ( µ ) in creases monotonically for µ ∈ [ α + η , β − η ]; (3) there exists a n umb er θ ∈ ( α + η , β − η ) s uc h that C ( µ ) increases monotonically for µ ∈ [ α + η , θ ] and d ecreases monotonically for µ ∈ ( θ , β − η ]. It follo ws that C ( λ ) ≥ min µ ∈ [ α + η,β − η ] C ( µ ) = min { C ( α + η ) , C ( β − η ) } for 0 < η < min  λ − α, β − λ, β − α 2  . By Lemma 4, b oth lim η ↓ 0 C ( α + η ) and lim η ↓ 0 C ( β − η ) exist and C ( λ ) ≥ lim η ↓ 0 min { C ( α + η ) , C ( β − η ) } = min  lim η ↓ 0 C ( α + η ) , lim η ↓ 0 C ( β − η )  ≥ min { C ( α ) , C ( β ) } for an y λ ∈ ( α, β ). ✷ Finally , to sho w Theorem 1, note that the statemen t ab out the co verag e p robabilit y follo ws immediately from Lemma 5. The num b er of elemen ts of th e finite set can b e calculated by using the pr op ert y of the ceiling and flo or fu nctions. B Pro of of Theorem 2 Define C ( λ ) = Pr      K n − λ     < ελ  = Pr { g ( λ ) ≤ K ≤ h ( λ ) } 7 where g ( λ ) = ⌊ nλ (1 − ε ) ⌋ + 1 , h ( λ ) = ⌈ nλ (1 + ε ) ⌉ − 1 . It should b e noted that C ( λ ) , g ( λ ) and h ( λ ) are actually m ultiv ariate functions of λ, ε and n . F or simp licit y of n otations, we dr op th e argument s n and ε thr oughout the pro of of Theorem 2. W e need some preliminary results. Lemma 6 L et λ ℓ = ℓ n (1+ ε ) wher e ℓ ∈ Z . Then, h ( λ ) = h ( λ ℓ +1 ) = ℓ for any λ ∈ ( λ ℓ , λ ℓ +1 ) . Pro of . F or λ ∈ ( λ ℓ , λ ℓ +1 ), we ha ve 0 < n (1 + ε ) ( λ − λ ℓ ) < 1 and h ( λ ) = ⌈ nλ (1 + ε ) ⌉ − 1 = ⌈ nλ ℓ (1 + ε ) + (1 + ε )( λ − λ ℓ ) ⌉ − 1 =  n  ℓ n + (1 + ε )( λ − λ ℓ )  − 1 = ℓ − 1 + ⌈ n (1 + ε ) ( λ − λ ℓ ) ⌉ = ℓ =  n  ℓ + 1 n (1 + ε ) × (1 + ε )  − 1 = h ( λ ℓ +1 ) . ✷ Lemma 7 L et λ ℓ = ℓ n (1 − ε ) wher e ℓ ∈ Z . Then, g ( λ ) = g ( λ ℓ ) = ℓ + 1 for any λ ∈ ( λ ℓ , λ ℓ +1 ) . Pro of . F or λ ∈ ( λ ℓ , λ ℓ +1 ), we ha ve − 1 < n (1 − ε ) ( λ − λ ℓ +1 ) < 0 and g ( λ ) = ⌊ nλ (1 − ε ) ⌋ + 1 = ⌊ n [ λ ℓ +1 (1 − ε ) + (1 − ε )( λ − λ ℓ +1 )] ⌋ + 1 =  n × ℓ + 1 n (1 − ε ) × (1 − ε )  + ⌊ n (1 − ε )( λ − λ ℓ +1 ) ⌋ + 1 =  n × ℓ + 1 n (1 − ε ) × (1 − ε )  − 1 + 1 = ℓ + 1 =  n × ℓ n (1 − ε ) × (1 − ε )  + 1 = g ( λ ℓ ) . ✷ Lemma 8 L et α < β b e two c onse cutive elements of the asc e nding arr angement of al l distinct elements of { a, b } ∪ { ℓ n (1 − ε ) ∈ ( a, b ) : ℓ ∈ Z } ∪ { ℓ n (1+ ε ) ∈ ( a, b ) : ℓ ∈ Z } . Then, b oth g ( λ ) and h ( λ ) ar e c onstants for any λ ∈ ( α, β ) . 8 Pro of . Since α and β are t wo consecutiv e elemen ts of the ascending arr angemen t of all distinct elemen ts of the set, it m ust b e true that there is no int eger ℓ suc h that α < ℓ n (1 − ε ) < β or α < ℓ n (1+ ε ) < β . It follo ws that there exist t wo inte gers ℓ and ℓ ′ suc h that ( α, β ) ⊆  ℓ n (1 − ε ) , ℓ +1 n (1 − ε )  and ( α, β ) ⊆  ℓ ′ n (1+ ε ) , ℓ ′ +1 n (1+ ε )  . Applying L emm a 6 and Lemma 7 , we ha ve g ( λ ) = g  ℓ n (1 − ε )  and h ( λ ) = h  ℓ ′ +1 n (1+ ε )  for an y λ ∈ ( α, β ). ✷ Lemma 9 F or any λ ∈ (0 , 1) , lim η ↓ 0 C ( λ + η ) ≥ C ( λ ) and lim η ↓ 0 C ( λ − η ) ≥ C ( λ ) . Pro of . Observing that h ( λ + η ) ≥ h ( λ ) for any η > 0 and th at g ( λ + η ) = ⌊ n ( λ + η )(1 − ε ) ⌋ + 1 = ⌊ nλ (1 − ε ) ⌋ + 1 + ⌊ nλ (1 − ε ) − ⌊ nλ (1 − ε ) ⌋ + n η (1 − ε ) ⌋ = ⌊ nλ (1 − ε ) ⌋ + 1 = g ( λ ) for 0 < η < 1+ ⌊ nλ (1 − ε ) ⌋− nλ (1 − ε ) n (1 − ε ) , we hav e S ( n, g ( λ + η ) , h ( λ + η ) , λ + η ) ≥ S ( n, g ( λ ) , h ( λ ) , λ + η ) (4) for 0 < η < 1+ ⌊ nλ (1 − ε ) ⌋− nλ (1 − ε ) n (1 − ε ) . Sin ce h ( λ + η ) = ⌈ n ( λ + η )(1 + ε ) ⌉ − 1 = ⌈ nλ (1 + ε ) ⌉ − 1 + ⌈ nλ (1 + ε ) − ⌈ nλ (1 + ε ) ⌉ + n η (1 + ε ) ⌉ , w e h a v e h ( λ + η ) =    ⌈ nλ (1 + ε ) ⌉ for nλ (1 + ε ) = ⌈ nλ (1 + ε ) ⌉ and 0 < η < 1 n (1+ ε ) , ⌈ nλ (1 + ε ) ⌉ − 1 for nλ (1 + ε ) 6 = ⌈ nλ (1 + ε ) ⌉ and 0 < η < ⌈ nλ (1+ ε ) ⌉− nλ (1+ ε ) n (1+ ε ) . It follo w s that b oth g ( λ + η ) and h ( λ + η ) are indep enden t of η if η > 0 is sm all enough. Since S ( n, g , h, λ + η ) is con tinuous with r esp ect to η for fi xed g and h , w e h a v e that lim η ↓ 0 S ( n, g ( λ + η ) , h ( λ + η ) , λ + η ) exists. As a result, lim η ↓ 0 C ( λ + η ) = lim η ↓ 0 S ( n, g ( λ + η ) , h ( λ + η ) , λ + η ) ≥ lim η ↓ 0 S ( n, g ( λ ) , h ( λ ) , λ + η ) = S ( n, g ( λ ) , h ( λ ) , λ ) = C ( λ ) , where the inequalit y follo ws from (4). Observing that g ( λ − η ) ≤ g ( λ ) for any η > 0 and that h ( λ − η ) = ⌈ n ( λ − η )(1 + ε ) ⌉ − 1 = ⌈ nλ (1 + ε ) ⌉ − 1 + ⌈ nλ (1 + ε ) − ⌈ nλ (1 + ε ) ⌉ − nη (1 + ε ) ⌉ = ⌈ nλ (1 + ε ) ⌉ − 1 = h ( λ ) 9 for 0 < η < 1+ nλ (1+ ε ) −⌈ nλ (1+ ε ) ⌉ n (1+ ε ) , we hav e S ( n, g ( λ − η ) , h ( λ − η ) , λ − η ) ≥ S ( n, g ( λ ) , h ( λ ) , λ − η ) (5) for 0 < η < min n λ, 1+ nλ (1+ ε ) −⌈ nλ (1+ ε ) ⌉ n (1+ ε ) o . Since g ( λ − η ) = ⌊ n ( λ − η )(1 − ε ) ⌋ + 1 = ⌊ nλ (1 − ε ) ⌋ + 1 + ⌊ nλ (1 − ε ) − ⌊ nλ (1 − ε ) ⌋ − nη (1 − ε ) ⌋ , w e h a v e g ( λ − η ) =    ⌊ nλ (1 − ε ) ⌋ for nλ (1 − ε ) = ⌊ nλ (1 − ε ) ⌋ and 0 < η < 1 n (1 − ε ) , ⌊ nλ (1 − ε ) ⌋ + 1 for nλ (1 − ε ) 6 = ⌊ nλ (1 − ε ) ⌋ and 0 < η < nλ (1 − ε ) −⌊ nλ (1 − ε ) ⌋ n (1 − ε ) . It follo w s that b oth g ( λ − η ) and h ( λ − η ) are indep enden t of η if η > 0 is sm all enough. Since S ( n, g , h, λ − η ) is con tinuous with r esp ect to η for fi xed g and h , w e h a v e that lim η ↓ 0 S ( n, g ( λ − η ) , h ( λ − η ) , λ − η ) exists. Hence, lim η ↓ 0 C ( λ − η ) = lim η ↓ 0 S ( n, g ( λ − η ) , h ( λ − η ) , λ − η ) ≥ lim η ↓ 0 S ( n, g ( λ ) , h ( λ ) , λ − η ) = S ( n, g ( λ ) , h ( λ ) , λ ) = C ( λ ) , where the inequalit y follo ws from (5). ✷ By a similar argum ent as that of Lemm a 5, we hav e Lemma 10 L e t α < β b e two c onse cutive elements of th e asc e nding arr angement of al l dis- tinct elements of { a, b } ∪ { ℓ n (1 − ε ) ∈ ( a, b ) : ℓ ∈ Z } ∪ { ℓ n (1+ ε ) ∈ ( a, b ) : ℓ ∈ Z } . Then, C ( λ ) ≥ min { C ( α ) , C ( β ) } for any λ ∈ ( α, β ) . Finally , to sho w Theorem 2, note that the statemen t ab out the co verag e p robabilit y follo ws immediately from Lemma 10. The n umb er of elemen ts of the finite set can b e calculate d by using the pr op ert y of the ceiling and flo or fu nctions. References [1] X. Chen, “Exact computation of minim um sample size for estimation of binomial p arame- ters,” arXiv:0707.2 113 v1 [math.ST], Ju ly 2007. [2] X. C hen, “Exact computation of minimum sample size for estimating p r op ortion of finite p opulation,” arXiv:0707.211 5 v1 [math.ST], July 2007. [3] M. M. Desu an d D. Ragha v arao, Sample Size Metho dolo gy , Academic Press, 1990. 10

Original Paper

Loading high-quality paper...

Comments & Academic Discussion

Loading comments...

Leave a Comment