Quantitative Finance / Q-Fin.GN

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Chaos structures. Multicurrency adviser on the basis of NSW model and social-financial nets

๋ณธ ์—ฐ๊ตฌ๋Š” ์™ธํ™˜ ์‹œ์žฅ์„ ๋Œ€์ƒ์œผ๋กœ ํ•œ ๋‹คํ†ตํ™” ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜ ์ „๋žต์„ ์ตœ์ ํ™”ํ•˜๊ธฐ ์œ„ํ•œ ์•Œ๊ณ ๋ฆฌ์ฆ˜์„ ์ œ์•ˆํ•˜๋ฉฐ, ์ด ์•Œ๊ณ ๋ฆฌ์ฆ˜์ด ์–ด๋–ป๊ฒŒ ๋™์ž‘ํ•˜๋Š”์ง€์— ๋Œ€ํ•ด ์ƒ์„ธํžˆ ์„ค๋ช…ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋…ผ๋ฌธ์€ ๋น„์„ ํ˜• ํ™•๋ฅ  ํŒŒ๋™ ๋ชจ๋ธ(NSW ๋ชจ๋ธ)์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ํ•˜๋ฉฐ, ์ด๋ฅผ ํ†ตํ•ด ๋ณต์žกํ•œ ์‹œ์Šคํ…œ์˜ ํ–‰๋™์„ ์˜ˆ์ธกํ•˜๊ณ  ์ตœ์ ํ™”ํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋Š” ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•๋ก ์„ ์ œ์‹œํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. 1. ์•Œ๊ณ ๋ฆฌ์ฆ˜์˜ ์›์น™๊ณผ ๊ตฌ์กฐ ์•Œ๊ณ ๋ฆฌ์ฆ˜์€ ๋‘ ๊ฐ€์ง€ ์ฃผ์š” ์›์น™์— ๋”ฐ๋ผ ์ž‘๋™ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: ๋™์—ญํ•™ ์ตœ์ ํ™”์™€ ์ˆ˜์ง ์ž์œจ ์กฐ๋ฆฝ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋™์—ญํ•™ ์ตœ์ ํ™”๋Š” ๋žœ๋ค ์†”๋ฃจ์…˜ ์ƒ์„ฑ์„ ํฌํ•จํ•˜๋ฉฐ, ์ด ์†”๋ฃจ์…˜๋“ค์€ ํšจ๊ณผ์„ฑ์— ๋”ฐ๋ผ '์ƒ์กด'ํ•˜๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ '์ œ๊ฑฐ'๋ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด ๊ณผ์ •์€

Quantitative Finance Model
Okuns law revisited. Is there structural unemployment in developed countries?

Okuns law revisited. Is there structural unemployment in developed countries?

: ์ด ๋…ผ๋ฌธ์€ ์˜ค์ฟค์˜ ๋ฒ•์น™์„ ํ†ตํ•ด ์„ ์ง„๊ตญ๋“ค์˜ ์‹ค์—… ๋ฌธ์ œ๋ฅผ ๋ถ„์„ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค. ์˜ค์ฟค์˜ ๋ฒ•์น™์€ GDP ์„ฑ์žฅ๋ฅ ๊ณผ ์‹ค์—…๋ฅ  ๊ฐ„์˜ ๋ถ€์ •์ ์ธ ์ƒ๊ด€๊ด€๊ณ„๋ฅผ ์„ค๋ช…ํ•˜๋Š” ๋ชจ๋ธ๋กœ, ์ด ์—ฐ๊ตฌ์—์„œ๋Š” ํŠนํžˆ ์‹ค์งˆ GDP 1์ธ๋‹น ์„ฑ์žฅ๋ฅ ์— ์ดˆ์ ์„ ๋งž์ถ”๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค. ์ฃผ์š” ๋‚ด์šฉ ๋ฐ ๋ถ„์„ 1. ์˜ค์ฟค์˜ ๋ฒ•์น™ ์žฌ๊ฒ€ํ†  : ๋…ผ๋ฌธ์€ ์˜ค์ฟค์˜ ๋ฒ•์น™์„ ์‚ฌ์šฉํ•˜์—ฌ ์„ ์ง„๊ตญ๋“ค์˜ ์‹ค์—… ๋ฌธ์ œ๋ฅผ ์žฌ๊ฒ€ํ† ํ•œ๋‹ค. ์ด๋Š” GDP ์„ฑ์žฅ๋ฅ ๊ณผ ์‹ค์—…๋ฅ  ๊ฐ„์˜ ๊ด€๊ณ„๋ฅผ ํ†ตํ•ด ์‹ค์—… ๋™์—ญํ•™์„ ์ดํ•ดํ•˜๋ ค๋Š” ์‹œ๋„์ด๋‹ค. 2. ๊ตฌ์กฐ์  ์ค‘๋‹จ์  ๋„์ž… : ๋…ผ๋ฌธ์€ ๊ฐ ๊ตญ๊ฐ€๋ณ„๋กœ ๊ตฌ์กฐ์  ์ค‘๋‹จ์ ์„ ๋„์ž…ํ•˜์—ฌ ์˜ค๋žœ ๊ธฐ๊ฐ„์— ๊ฑธ์นœ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฅผ ๋ถ„์„ํ•œ๋‹ค. ์˜ˆ๋ฅผ

Quantitative Finance

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